09/08/2026
Just the Facts: A new MDRC study follows CUNY Accelerated Study in Associate Programs (ASAP) participants for 14 years, examining whether the program’s strong completion effects translated into lasting earnings gains.
The results confirm that ASAP’s completion impact endured well beyond the program itself. Its effect on economic mobility was less clear. Additional insights include:
🔶 Fourteen years after entering the study, 57.7% of students offered ASAP had earned a degree, compared with 50.0% of those receiving standard services. The statistically significant 7.7 percentage-point difference suggests that ASAP helped some students earn degrees they may not otherwise have completed.
🔶 After three years, 39.5% of ASAP students had graduated, compared with 22.4% of the control group. This 17.1 percentage-point impact was the largest recorded across more than 30 higher education randomized controlled trials conducted by MDRC since 2003, excluding other ASAP replications.
🔶 The program did not produce a statistically discernible increase in earnings within New York State. During the final two years studied, ASAP participants earned approximately $36,000 annually, compared with $38,000 among the control group. The study could not reliably detect the modest gains that might result from increased completion alone.
🔶 Most of ASAP’s additional degrees were earned in fields associated with relatively lower earnings among CUNY graduates. An Ohio replication that also increased bachelor’s degree attainment produced earnings gains of 12% after six years and 14% after eight years, suggesting that credential pathways and local labor markets may influence long-term outcomes.
The findings strengthen the case for comprehensive student support while showing why graduation rates alone offer an incomplete picture of economic mobility.
Institutions adopting similar models should examine program mix, transfer pathways, career preparation, employer connections, and local labor markets alongside completion. Helping more students graduate remains essential. The larger challenge is ensuring that their credentials also create meaningful educational and economic opportunities.